Archive for May, 2007

Video and me

May 29, 2007

In 1966, when I was working on bio feedback (brain waves), my friend and colleague, Peter Harris, and I got the idea (actually I think it was Peter that had the idea) to see if we could put up letters on a screen.  At that time we use an ASR-33 teletype as are main input and output device (think of a kind of typewriter if you can remember them).  We had never seen a character on a screen.  In fact we had no screens on the computer.  What we did have was a telescope that could store images using a long lasting phosphor and we had digital to analog converters (which I think I designed and installed).  Bottom line was we figured out how to put up words on the screen (which was a round little thing) and it was amazing. 

In 1970, I used head per track disk which probably had less than a Meg of memory and which was developed for instant repay for sporting events, to put up whole pages on TV sets which were used by nurse to monitor patients in an ICU.  We developed some kind of character generator to take our ASCII codes and turn them into a small bit map that could be loaded on the disk. 

In 1975 when I ran a division of Mennen Greatbatch which was responsible for computer supported medial systems, I used a PDP-11 and developed a dual access memory unit which could be read be a raster scanner that created a display.  There was one bit in memory for every bit on the display.  We developed software character generators.  It worked pretty well. 

In 1981, when I was Group Manger for Professional Computers at Digital Equipment, I had my group develop a shared memory display because it lets us have software created characters. It was a big fight inside Digital because every one else wanted to use hardware generated characters.   

In 1989, after I had started what became Intel Capital I invested in a company called Digital F/X which was founded by my good friend, Steve Mayer, who was the co founder of Atari.  He wanted to bring to the desk top advanced post production capabilities especially special effects.  Apple invested in the company as did KP.  I got Intel to invest because I had and idea to develop a graphical user interface let the MAC which would be connected to the chips we would develop.  We would put a layer of software between above OS so the OS would sit between two environments that Intel would develop together. But Andy Grove shot that down.  I got so pissed off I sent him a memo calling him the Mick Jagger of the computer world (trying to make today last).  Did not help my career very much. 

In the very early 90’s I continued my interest in displays but now the challenge was video.  I thought that we could find ways to put video on PC’s but other than for educational training most people at Intel thought that was a stupid idea.  But thank God for
Moore’s law because we began to get the computing power we needed to play back encoded video. 
 

In 1993, Matt Miller (CTO of GI) and I realized that we could use the cable network to provide a high speed network to PC’s in homes.  And the cable modem as we now know it was born.  I thought that video would be a key capability and we demonstrated video downloaded to a computer over a cable network at the Western Cable Show in 1993 and later at the 1994 PC Expo (and of course it was Andy Grove who did the demo).   

In 1996, Intel and Creative Artist Agency (CAA) put together a “demo lab” to showcase the PC and broadband internet as the beginning of a new medium.  We though mistakenly that the content for this new medium would come from the traditional media industry especially the talent.  This turned out not to be the case but I did make a lot of interesting contacts in the media industry. 

In 1998, I joined the board of King World Productions which was the leading syndicate of first run TV shows.  For instance we distributed Oprah.  I was asked to join the board by Herb Allen (Allen&Co) to help the company understand the implications of the changes in technology and help develop a long term strategy.  Soon after I joined, I realized that in a few years it would be possible to encoded TV quality video on a PC and I figured people would store TV shows to view later and would skip the commercials.  This was around the time that Tivo and Replay both came to market.  Since the TV affiliates that represented the build of King Worlds customers were totally dependent on advertising, I thought it was wiser to sell the company than to try to build it our further.  We sold it for three billion dollars to CBS who shortly later was acquired by Viacom.   

In 1999 I invested in Heavy, the leader in broadband entertainment for males 18-34.  We started with animation and small video windows short form.   

2007, I am glad to say that Heavy is doing very well and is probably the leading independent video site on the net.  And we now have internet video on multiple platforms including cell phones.  

So for me it has been 40 years since Pete Harris and I put those first bits on the screen and spelled out the word “test”.  We have clearly made so much progress in developing the technology to create and distribute video content.  But I am still wondering about how the really interesting an compelling content will be greated.  Soon the novelty of having video everywhere will fade. 

May 26, 2007

The Accidental Mind by David J. Linden

This book demonstrates that evolution never looks back especially when it comes to brain development.  When I learned how are brain  is actually structured and functions I could only think of cities like Mumbai and Los Angeles (they are really well designed in comparison to our brains).  Our brain is not a single brain but a lot of brains that evolved in the past tracing our evolutionary path from a worm, to a reptile, to a rodent, monkey etc.  Every step left something behind but that something is still working.  Not only is the brain a pile of old and semi functional parts but even the basic ingredients do not work that well.  Neurons often do not fire when they are suppose to for instance.  We even have more than one part of our brain that sees.  The old part will see a ball being thrown and let us catch it even if the cerebral cortex has been destroyed and we are blind. 

What this book really thought me that even poorly organized structures and achieve amazing things so maybe their is hope yet for our government.

GPS and the collective unconciousness

May 25, 2007

I bought a portable GPS for our trip in Italy and France.  The unit I got was the Nuvi 360. It can be used in a car, walking or on a bicycle and gives the appropriate directions for the type of transportation used.  I bought a special memory card that has European information in it. Since I have no other experience with a portable unit, I can not recommend this unit versus another.  I tested the unit  in San Francisco where I live and it did great.  It did ok in London but not as well in Italy especially where we are staying in Tuscany with all the small roads and hill towns.  The unit has a computer generated voice.  That works ok with the words are in English but it is horrible and almost unusable when the street names and towns are in Italian.  We switch the language it used to Italian and that works better for us because we understand enough Italian to recognize the directions but otherwise that would be useless too. Two bad the unit does not use English for the directions and Italian for the names of streets and towns.  It should be possible to design it to work that way. But using a GPS that you can carry around in your pocket is a real different experience than a GPS that is in your car.  It is like caring a cell phone when before we had phones mounted in our cars that could not be taken out (if you are old enough to remember that).  The unit can calculate your average speed when you are walking and know if you have stopped somewhere (lets say for lunch) and does not count that time in figuring out your average speed. So I began to think of how a person GPS could be used to enhance one’s own knowledge of one’s behavior.  As I understand it, a GPS can know where I am located within ten feet or so and that will improve in the future to maybe three feet.  So it seems that I could map out my home and provide enough info so that with a GPS that collected and stored and uploaded info (they do this now for bike riders) I could tell where I spent my time in my own home, how long I was at the gym, where I went for lunch etc. Most of us have a GPS with us these days any way. It is called a cell phone.  And there are already applications that can tell me not only where restaurants and book stores are relative to my location but even if I have friends close by.   Soon (or maybe it has already happened) this might be used for dating purposes.  You could be told that a person of interest is close by. 

By the way, now that there are companies that track traffic by following cell phones (they pick out people and follow them to get their speeds), they will also find out the short cuts that worked (worked because once they are found out they may no longer be short cuts). Welcome to village earth.  Enjoy it while it lasts!

This will (should) make you think

May 24, 2007

Below you will find a description of a project by Chris Jordan that I think is excellent.  You can find the site here.

By the way, speaking of excellent.  We are in Tuscany for the week and it does not really get much better than this.  I am definitly coming back as an Italian in my next life (assuming I am worthy). This is where we are staying.

Running the Numbers
An American Self-Portrait

This new series looks at contemporary American culture through the austere lens of statistics. Each image portrays a specific quantity of something: fifteen million sheets of office paper (five minutes of paper use); 106,000 aluminum cans (thirty seconds of can consumption) and so on. My hope is that images representing these quantities might have a different effect than the raw numbers alone, such as we find daily in articles and books. Statistics can feel abstract and anesthetizing, making it difficult to connect with and make meaning of 3.6 million SUV sales in one year, for example, or 2.3 million Americans in prison, or 426,000 cell phones retired every day. This project visually examines these vast and bizarre measures of our society, in large intricately detailed prints assembled from thousands of smaller photographs.

My only caveat about this series is that the prints must be seen in person to be experienced the way they are intended. As with any large artwork, their scale carries a vital part of their substance which is lost in these little web images. Hopefully the JPEGs displayed here might be enough to arouse your curiosity to attend an exhibition, or to arrange one if you are in a position to do so. The series is a work in progress, and new images will be posted as they are completed, so please stay tuned.

~chris jordan, Seattle, 2007 “

Joost: The Entrepreneur as a Brand

May 14, 2007

Joost, an internet video distribution site has gain an amazing amount of attention. Recently it raised more than 45 million dollars and has a valuation close to 200 million.  Joost is in a closed beta (I have been using it for a while).  The company owns no content, wires or towers. I doubt (but do not know) that it really has any technical advantages.  So then why are companies like Viacom and CBS signing on? It is the power of the Entrepreneurs brand.  Niklas Zennstrøm and Janus Friis are the founders of Skype and before that Kaaza. We have always had strong CEO/Founder brands like Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Andy Grove but they stayed with the companies they started.  These guys build and sell companies.  And while there are so many video distributions sites, they will not make it with out great content and consumer awareness.  These are the guys that have the “juice” And in any case, see if you can get a beta.  Joost is certainly an example of a 21st media company and while companies like this may or may not succeed in getting a return for their investors (this one will if history is any indication), they will further break the back of traditional TV networks.  Heavy, on whose board I serve is on Joost and their programs look great. 

By the way, last week, Roger King, was honored by The International Radio and Television Society Foundation.   Roger is the CEO of King World Productions and CBS Enterprises.  King World is the leading distributor of syndicated television and distributes such shows as Oprah. King world started by distributing The Little Rascals.   I was on the board of that company when we sold it to CBS in 1999 for 2.5 billion dollars.   

HomePlug Rules

May 12, 2007

I feel vindicated.  Around 2002, I jointed the board of Current Group, the leader in Broadband over Powerline (the company provides both a set services and capabilities the will help power utilities mange the power grid which can provided dramatic improvements in reduction of both powerconsumption and green house gases emissions as well as a very competitive consumer broadband service). It was through thisrelationship that I learned of the developments in Home Plug and was introduced to Intellon the company that leads in the development of HomePlug chips and technologies.  The more, I learned the more I was convinced that Home Plug and not WiFi was the right technology for highspeed digital distribution within the home.  It was fortunate for me Because I had an apartment in
San Francisco in a building constructed 1920’with masonry walls.
  At that time I could not get WiFi to work from one part of my unit to the other (and it was not that far).  I got early units from Intellon (I also became an advisor to Intellon) and able to connect all part of my home.  I got even got some units that integrated WiFi with home plug so I was able to finally create get coverage for my notebook in every corner of my home.  I learned about their plans to go to Home Plug Av (200mbits) and realized that this would be finally the solution for connecting AV applications across devices.  But most people I talk to were negative on Home Plug.  In particular my old alma mater (Intel) had previously invested in Powerline technology which failed and they were even reluctant to consider it again.  Further more, they were very committed to WiFi which served them very well in the development of the notebook business.  Without, going into details, Intel eventually saw the value of Home Plug.  They even joined the Home Plug alliance group They recently announced they will be including Home Plug in consumer desktop computers.  In the meantime, Intellon, has gone from almost a basket case to a star.  And now Consumer reports has an article which says that Home Plug is better than WiFi for the home.   

And the WiFi situation will only get worse.  WiFi is a shared spectrum. Think of a busy restaurant with a lot of people talking and music beingpiped in.  People can not hear each other so they speak lauder and lauder and lauder.  That is what is happen with WiFi.  All those WiFiextenders are just raising the background noise.  WiFi is great for mobile application but you will be a lot happier with Home Plug toconnect your network together. 

Look for more and more consumers devices to have Home Plug built in, like set top boxes, HD displays etc. 

Congestion ahead

May 11, 2007

I am having just been in NYC for a couple of board meetings (see I do work from time to time).  Last week, I was in Tokyo which I am found of saying is like New York without the dirt and crime but that is not really fair. New York is like no other place in the world.  And while many find it expensive, I think it is the cheapest place in the world per experience. When I am in NYC for business, I normally stay at the W at Times Square.  They usually give me a corner room  approx. 50 stories high where I can look right down on Times Square.  Which brings me to the purpose of this post.

Most hotels in the USA charge for high speed access.  Frankly, I think this should be included in the room but then again, I don’t think they should charge $1.50 per minute for phone calls, or five dollars for a glass of water.   I can only imagine what the charge for the so called intimacy package but I certainly hope the quality of that product is better than their broadband offering.    I measured the broadband at the W as something less than 250kbits and sometimes not more than 125kbits. The charge for this is about $20 bucks.  At first I thought that it might be this low because of congestion because even if the hotel has a dedicated line, all the guest rooms are probably connected to one big LAN and are sharing bandwidth.  But even in the middle of the night, there as not much more bandwidth. The crazy thing was that Sling was running as it normally does when I am viewing my tivo over the net at around 350kbits.  In addition to slow bandwidth, latency was horrible.    I have decided to get a high speed  EDVO connection from Sprint.  That is also a shared medium and probably sucks during the day but it will pay for itself in a just a few days of not paying the hotel for their awful broadband.  And I can use it at the airport instead of paying T-Mobile.  And I can use it when I am in the car going to and from the Airport.  Now you Blackberry people don’t care about any of this I imagine. Which brings me to one of my favorite subjects:  The sorry state of broadband in the USA. 

 Brian Roberts, the CEO of Comcast and someone I have get respect and affection and which I hope is returned (for it was me that introduced Comcast to the idea of cable modems back in 1993), announced that Comcast will be offering 150 mbit bandwidth with DOCIS III and this should be available in 2-3 years (probably in areas where Comcast has competition for Telco’s deploying fiber).  What they are doing is converting more of the channels that are “wasted” on analog video, to be used for downstream IP. The best way to think of the cable network is like a highway with lanes and a maximum speed limit.  If there is very little traffic you can go at the maximum, but if there is a lot of traffic you can crawl.  Now for most people the times they may want to drive on the highway are the same times that others want to drive on the highway (like going to and from work) so the average speed that drivers experience is much lower than the speed limited posted.  When it gets really bad, they add lanes to the highway (which is what Comcast is doing).  But if traffic grows faster than the highway grows then we still end up with traffic jams.  And guess what? Traffic on the internet is going to grow faster than they will add lanes.  In fact, the Comcast announcement means that they can only guarantee about a mbit per home unless they drive fiber deeper into their networks and reduce the size of nodes something that would be expensive and take a lot of time to do (it requires things like ditch diggers and pole line men).   One of the things that has made a shared network like cable work, is that only a small number of consumers are on the computer at any one time and the usage model was been browsing which is point, click, wait, read, and do that all over again.  When a system is highly interactive there is a lot of dead time using we are talking about 15 years playing games.  But video is changing all that and in addition the number of users in a home is increasing and the amount of time people are spending on the net is changing.  So while, I am very glad that Comcast is adding this capability (which by the way, they could have done a long time ago in my opinion), it is just an other bandage.  And of course none of this deals with upstream bandwidth which is very limited for cable.  The issues here is the P2P will not work if deployed in large numbers within cable systems but they guys that are developing P2P do not seem to care or maybe they just do not know.  So DSL is point to point (for the last mile).  While does not offer the potential bandwidth that cable has, it should give a consistent amount of bandwidth.  In a sense, it is more like a train (like a Japanese Bullet Train) only slower).  Right now consumers do not understand all this and I don’t think they will every understand it technically but they will certainly understand when their video is flaky.  I am just surprised that all the investors in video distributions networks do not seem to understand the issue or maybe they thing they can get in and out before the problems become obvious. Check out what GigaOM has to say on this topic here.  The comments are more technical and worth reading. 

You may wonder why I did not speak about BPL (broadband over powerline).  Since I am a director of Current Group, the leader in BPL, I do not feel that it is right for me to comment on this other than to say that I believe the BPL will be very competitive with Cable and Telecom offerings.

Conan Obrien visits Intel

May 7, 2007

This is a very funny video with Conan O’Brien visiting Intel.  I do not know how it happens but it is a typical example of Intel poking fun at itself.  The company does have humor although these days they might not be finding as much to laugh about.  See the video here. When I interviewed for my  job at Intel, Gordon Moore who was at the time CEO, Andy Grove who was COO, Les Vadasz Senior VP and badge number 3 my ultimate boss and good friend)and several other senior executives met with me in their cubicles. There was just room enough for two or maybe three people. No one had a real office and I think this is still the case. I understood this would be my situation if I joined.  On one hand I did not look forward to this although I did end up with a cubicle with a window. In my previous job as President of Franklin Computer, I had an office the size of a small living room but I also remembered that Franklin went bust. I thought back to my years at Digital Equipment.  Two things stuck in my mind. One was a visit to meet the head of computer retail at Sears (this was about 1982 and Sears was opening up computer retail stores).  We could not meet in his office since he was a not VP and the office he had just been given had belong to a VP.  VP’s had offices with doors that open to one side where their assistance sat.  Since he was not a VP his office was being changed so his door was on the hall and his assistant would sit across from that in an open office. They had to change the rug because VP’s could pick out there own rugs but if you were not a VP the rug had to match the hall rug. The next time I visited we meet in a conference room.  He had just been made a VP and they were redoing his office. At digital, we had what was called executives sponsors.  The executive sponsor was responsible for dealing with a particular account from the “feel good” point of view.  Ken Olsen asked me to take care of Ford.  Ford was a major customer and Philip Caldwell, the CEO of Ford was on the board of Digital Equipment and Ken Olsen was on the Board of Ford (no one cared about interlocking board members then).  In particular, Ken asked me to bring Phil’s assistant a Decmate which was Digital’s Word Processor.  I was brought to Ford by the digital sales man who took me there in a (you guessed it) Ford.  He told me that all sales people that called on Ford from any company had to have Fords or they would not be let in.  The parking lot was full of Fords.  There was no other model.  I asked one of the executives at Ford if Phil was driven to work in a Ford.  He said of course.  I asked if it was a standard Ford.  He said of course.  I asked if there was anything different about the car. He thought for a moment and said. “Only that it was serviced every day”.   We then went up to the executive floor in a special elevator that did not stop at any other floor other than the very top floor where there were apartments for directors to stay in when they visited the company.  The got there via helicopter so they did not even have to take the elevator. The executive floor was made out of Italian marble.  Each executive suite had three units; 1) executive, 2) assistant and 3) conference room.  I was shown Phil’s office which contained millions of dollars of art bought by Henry Ford other CEOs.  Then I asked his assistant how she liked the Decmate which I had sent ahead.  She said that she never used it.  I asked why and she said that she never types.  When I asked her how she wrote the letters that Phil dictated she pointed to the floor and said they do it down there.  I found out later that down there was a typing pool.   Later I got a chance to learn some more about some of Ford’s culture.  It seems that if an officer of the company wrote something it was printed on blue paper. Otherwise it was printed on white paper.  I went over to a copy machine and sure enough there were two kinds of paper (white and blue). It seems like you also had to copy things on the correct color paper. So having lived through all of this, I decided to try Intel’s way for a while.  It worked pretty well for me. So well that when I left Intel, I was able set myself up on the 50th floor of building in San Francisco with a view of the bay bridge, decorate my office (the size of a living room) with Italian antique furniture and close the door. 

Thank for the memories

May 5, 2007

I am the family historian.  Over the last five years I have been pretty much able to put together the story of my family and in some case I am able to cover nine generations from a time before declaration of independence to the birth of my grandchildren.  And I have collected photographs that go back as for as the 1890s.  I am privileged to have photos of all my great grandparents most of whom are buried in San Francisco. And in some cases I have letters that were written as long as go as 1897.  The most precious of these were the letters written by  Edith, the niece of my great grandmother, Bessie.  Edith describes the arrival of my great grandmother in San Francisco as a girl of 19 years having come from small village in the Ukraine (Priluki).  Over a forty year, Edith wrote to her brother William who lived in NYC describing her life.  It gave me great joy to eventually fine the son of Edith, Bud.  He is in his 90s and I was able to read to him the letters that his mother wrote especially during the early part of the last century. A while ago I discovered some old videos taken (in color) by my grandfather which included the engagement party and wedding of my parents, and my early years and the early years of my sisters.  I was with my father when he saw these videos some of which were over sixty years old and I watched the impact on him. 

Yesterday, I got an email from one of my children proudly point to link on Youtube where he and his wife had uploaded videos of their son and my grandson demonstrating his newly acquired skill of walking. It was wonderful to see this and brought me joy.  I then thought about the number of photos that have been taken of my three grandchildren.  I have thousands of them.  And tens or even hundreds of video and the oldest is just about to turn four.  Just think how much there will be by the time the graduate high school.  But will any of these last?  I know they are digital but I already have files on media that I can no longer read.  How long will the video on Youtube be there for us (let alone all the start up companies the will falter and die).  And what about the letters we no longer write? Ancestry has just announced a new feature that I think is wonderful.  It allows one to make an audio recording via the phone and attach that recording to someone in a family tree. Not only can you the family historian do that but one can send out an invitation to family members and friends asking them to make tell a story via the phone about someone. They get an email with a number to call and a reference number (which makes sure their story gets attached correctly).  I am really looking forward to using this.  But then I have to ask myself.  How long will it be available? 

Today is the birthday of my youngest sister, Marlene.  She died thirty years ago at the age of twenty seven.  She never touch a computer, never took a digital photo nor  sent an email but she was loved and she shall be remembered.