Two Thirds Done

Thoughts and experiences of an eighty one year old Wild Duck.

Avram Miller by the sea
EN | IT

587 posts since 2006

Tag: Nvidia

  • How Intel trained me to be honey pot resistant.

    The issues around the CEO of Nvidia, Jensen Huang,  reminded me of an experience I had.

    Around the late 80s I was traveling around Asia in my role of VP business development.  As part of that trip, I had a business meeting with a major PC company in Taiwan.  It was my first and last visit to that Island.  I also visited, Japan, Korea and Hong Kong.

    There was a group in Intel that provided me with training on etiquette for the different countries.  For instance how rude it was to show the bottoms of your shoes in Japan.  When it come to Taiwan, it was a different story.

    I was told that companies in Taiwan would negotiate for hours and hours.  That they took stimulant and would try to worn you down.  And they said that I should expect a knock on my hotel door later in the evening. That if I opened it I would find that a beautiful woman had been sent to entertain me.

    Sure enough the knock came.  And did I answer it?

  • Driving the Creation of Residential Broadband

    I am resending this because there was an issue in the link to the chapter in my book about broadband. Sorry about this.

    Driving the creation of residential broadband was unquestionably the highlight of my career. Many others played important roles: developing the technology (Broadcom, 3Com), creating cable and DSL modems (General Instrument, LANcity, Texas Instruments), providing broadband services (@Home, Covad), enabling streaming media (Launch Media, Broadcast.com), interactive services (AOL, Yahoo), browsers (Netscape, Microsoft), and, of course, the cable and telephone companies that became broadband service providers (Comcast, Bell Atlantic).

    It Began with a Phone Call

    It all started with a phone call in 1992 between Bill Gates and Andy Grove. Les Vadasz and I had recently started what became Intel Capital, and I had decided to make the home computer market a key focus. Grove thought I was foolish for wanting to do this. He said the market for home computers would never be significant. But he also told me that if I wanted to waste my time on it, it was my choice.

    Then one day, Gates called Grove and said Microsoft wanted to work on the home computer market. Since no one at Intel seemed interested, Gates suggested he might work with AMD, Intel’s primary competitor. Of course, Bill said this to get Andy’s attention, knowing he wouldn’t want Microsoft partnering with AMD. Grove quickly responded that Intel was indeed interested in the home market—“after all, one of his vice presidents, Avram Miller, was devoting himself to it.”

    Bill, whom I had first met a decade earlier during my time at Digital Equipment, replied, “Great! Have Avram come up to Redmond and meet with Rob Glaser, who’s leading our consumer activities.” We started a project to create an interactive set-top box and brought in General Instrument, which at the time was led by Don Rumsfeld. There I met GI’s CTO, Matt Miller (no relation), who later played an important role in creating residential broadband over cable.

    “Bill believed that the top of the TV set (and TVs did have ‘tops’ back then) was the most important real estate in the home.”

    Like many others, he believed interactivity would happen through the television. I did not share that view.

    Grove called me and told me my real job was to keep Microsoft away from AMD. He still thought there was no real home market for personal computers; he only cared about the business market. History would prove otherwise. But for me, this gave the opening I needed.

    (more…)
  • Is Nvidia the Next Intel

    Nvidia, the wonder child of the tech world just announced a $50 billion stock buy back.

    Stock buybacks are when a company uses it cash to purchase its own shares. There are a number of reasons for doing this. But it starts off with the company having an excess of cash and coming to the conclusion that the do not need this cash to continue to grow. Returning the cash in the form of a stock buy back reduced the number of total shares which has the effect of increasing the price/earnings ratio. So the stock price is expect to go up. That is often happens in the short term and is a benefit to both stock holders and employee option holders. The company has to also believe that their stock is either fairly valued or undervalued for the buyback to make sense. Frankly, I have a hard time thinking the Nvidia’s stock is undervalued. This action by Nvidia makes me think about my former company, Intel.

    Lets look at what happened at Intel.

    Total Buyback Summary (2018 – Q1 2023)

    • Total Shares Purchased: 756.3 million shares

    • Total Amount Spent: $35.534 billion

    • Overall Average Share Price: $46.97

    Breakdown:

    • 2018: $8.9 billion over four quarters, with an average price of $47.81.

    • 2019: $13.6 billion over four quarters, with an average price around $50.39.

    • 2020: $14.2 billion spent over three active quarters, with an price around $50.88.

    • 2023 $2.415 billion spent with an average share price around $61.15.

    Please note that Intel’s current stock price is about $20. So the stock they bought lost more than half of its value.

    Is Nvidia buying back its own stock a smart decision? Personally, I think not. They would be better of diversifying and buy other companies or assets and using their stock and not their cash to do it.