If the Ro-the transition rate or the. number of people an infected person infects, the virus will spread. For instance, if one person infects four people in two weeks, those people can infect four people each, or sixteen people. The growth is always exponential. If the Ro is less than 1, the virus will … Continue reading
Latest Entries
COVID 19-Handshaking can kill you
There is so much to learn about COVID 19. I think we will eventually be very surprised. Why are Korea and Japan’s numbers so low I think there are two reasons. They don’t shake hands and they wear masks. Handshaking seems to me to be a very efficient means of transferring the virus. Let us say … Continue reading
Dear Joe, the job of president is vacant, please apply.
My letter to Joe Biden. May 9, 2020 Dear Joe, I hope you do not mind me offering some advice but defeating Trump is essential and I am not sure you are up to the job. Form a Shadow Cabinet Now This way, the press will go to those you have appointed for comment and … Continue reading
Some of what I learned about Covid 19
Covid 19 took the world by surprise. Few countries had plans for dealing with the virus, but they should have. It also took a very long time to realize for the world to understand what was happening, although it was, sadly, all pretty predictable. I want to continue to share my thoughts about the virus. … Continue reading
COVID 19 Exit
The purpose of flattening the curve is to make sure the number of people requiring hospitalization including ICU does not overwhelm the system. Assuming that patients will receive the same quality of treatment in that case, there is no benefit for flattening the curve further. Unless we get a vaccine, the majority of people will get … Continue reading
Sleep Apnea and COVID 19
As many readers of my blog will know, I was very involved with a company that has developed a breakthrough device for Obstructive Sleep Apnea, http://www.sommetrics.com. That afforded me an opportunity to learn a great deal about this disease. Recently, I was talking with the CEO who is Pulmonologist originally about interest in the part … Continue reading
And even more thoughts about the virus
We don’t know how many people have Covid 19 It appears that many people have Covid 19 but no symptoms but are still capable of transmission. Only testing a sample population will let us know this very important piece of information. We need to test for antibodies and not just the virus Most people who … Continue reading
Some more thoughts about the Coronavirus
The Chinese Century China will be coming out of the problems due to the Covid 19 virus before the USA. Right now the USA looks like it is in real trouble medically and financially. China will fill the vacuum left by the major decline of the USA. The world’s experience with democracy is … Continue reading
Some thoughts about the Coronavirus
There is a lot you can read about the Coronavirus. Here is an excellent article. I want to add a few of my thoughts to the discussion. The statistics that are relevant to you When you read about the statistics, especially mortality, you need to realize that these number only are relevant when considering large … Continue reading
Piece Plan
I read the 180 page Peace to Prosperity plan. The bulk of the plan is in the first 40 pages. The rest are appendixes. I was going to write up a detailed analysis of it but frankly, it is not worth the time and effort. It does represent a fair amount of work on the … Continue reading
