Two Thirds Done

Thoughts and experiences of an eighty one year old Wild Duck.

Avram Miller by the sea
EN | IT

587 posts since 2006

Tag: blog

  • Avram Goes Video

    My blog posts are now available as short videos on my new YouTube channel. You can subscribe here. I will also put a link on blog posts for which I have created videos. I hope you enjoy the new format. Here is an example:

    My primary form of communication has been writing blog posts, along with posts on social media such as Facebook and LinkedIn. Yet I myself consume a lot of video from YouTube, TikTok, and Instagram.

    It is a bit strange, because during the majority of my career I often gave speeches, sometimes to audiences of over a thousand people. Most of those were never recorded, although a few were, such as my testimony to Congress regarding the development of HDTV and interviews on news shows.

    Over the last 20 years, I have done a number of video interviews, especially around the time of the publishing of my book, The Flight of a Wild Duck.

    I still give talks, but not often. For instance, I gave a speech at the World Business Forum, which was held in Milan in November 2025.

    I am really comfortable speaking and love having an audience, especially one that can ask me questions. But when I have tried to make videos on my own, they are really awful. I am stilted and have no energy. I need a live audience — but perhaps one of the AIs can simulate this for me.

    However, I have now found an easy way to create videos from my blog posts using NotebookLM’s video generation capability.

    Next, I intend to create a clone of my voice to replace the voice that NotebookLM uses.

    I would be grateful for your comments. Do you think the videos do a good job of capturing what I wrote on my blog? Do you prefer the video or the written blog? Do you think using a clone of my own voice would make this more interesting?

  • A Favor to Ask

    I have been writing this blog since 2007. There are about 570 posts with 430,000 word which is equivalent to about five books.

    I have never worked very hard at getting anyone to read it. Which is a strange thing to admit, because I clearly want people to read it. Otherwise, I would have just kept a diary.

    This week I finally sat down and looked at the numbers properly.

    What I found

    For years I believed I had around fifteen hundred subscribers. I did not. 640 of you receive these posts by email. Another 500 or so follow the blog in a WordPress app and never see an email at all. And 700 more signed up, were sent a confirmation link they never clicked, and have been sitting in limbo ever since, some for years, probably wondering why I stopped writing.

    Several of you have told me exactly this. You subscribed and never heard from me. I am sorry. I did not know, and the dashboard kept telling me everything was fine.

    (more…)
  • My First Eighty Years Were About Building the Platform — Now the Adventure Begins

    I write about my eighties not because my life has been exceptional, but because so few people my age write about this time of their life at all. I want to inspire them if I can to embrace the future not fear it.

    Trying to Understand What Defines Me

    A few weeks ago, I created a series of Venn diagrams on my iPad to help me understand what defines me.

    The diagrams weren’t about my career. They weren’t about money or success. They were about curiosity, contribution, gratitude, imagination, learning, relationships, health, and creating things that didn’t exist before.

    As I looked at the overlapping circles, I realized that after more than eighty years I was only beginning to understand the thread that connected my life.

    Perhaps my first eighty years were just about building the platform for what is to come next.

    The Curious Child Is Still Alive

    At 81, I still feel like that little boy who found that everything was interesting.

    For the curious, every unanswered question is an invitation, not a problem. Every new technology promised another adventure. Every book opened, another world. That boy never saw limits, only possibilities. The piano keyboard was always waiting for his fingers. The typewriter wait for his touch.

    That little boy is still running my life. And he wants to run even faster now.

    A Beautifully Complicated Life

    My life today is wonderfully, and sometimes frustratingly, complicated.

    I’m still helping create companies. I’m fascinated by science and consider myself a scientist. Writing is a big part of my creative process; in addition to this blog, I am working on two new books. I play the piano and compose music. Deborah and I have moved to Italy, where I’m learning not only another language but another culture. We’re restoring a three-hundred-year-old palazzo and imagining what a truly intelligent home can be. I am using AI to create a digital twin of a home which was born in 1731.

    At the center of all of it is Deborah. Our relationship is the anchor of my life. I have been blessed by such love.

    (more…)
  • End of Time and Space-A reflection

    Yesterday, I had a wide-ranging interaction with my dear friend, Mark Goldstein. I am not sure how to describe a Zoom call when it is just between friends. It is clearly not a meeting, but perhaps a virtual get-together? I have been checking in online with friends all over the world during these difficult times. We recently moved to Genoa, so all my good friends are remote. I stay in touch via Zoom.

    Back in 2005, ten thought leaders who had been previously interviewed by Fast Company Magazine, including me, were asked to forecast the biggest changes that would affect business in the coming ten years. Later in this post, you will find the list of those interviewed, people like Malcolm Gladwell, and their key points. I had ChatGPT rate the accuracy of their predictions. Five, including me, got five stars, three got four, and two got three stars. Pretty impressive, I would say.

    My prediction was “the end of space and time.” The point I was making was that it would no longer matter where you were or what time it was. I will explain more later, but I am very glad that my prediction proved to be correct, even though it took more than ten years to happen. Now, more than a third of the time of knowledge workers is spent in virtual meetings. Many have become remote workers. I am also sure that more and more families and friends are using video services such as Zoom, Teams, and Meet to interact. For me, 98% of my business meetings are virtual, as well as my communications with friends and family. As someone who is actively working in the field of longevity science, I know that social interaction plays a crucial role, and I believe that maintaining relationships with family and friends over great distances will be very important.

    When I first moved far from my parents in 1965, a long-distance call was $12 for a three-minute call—about $100 adjusted for inflation. I had figured out how to hack the telephone system, so I was able to call my parents whenever I wanted. Now, my wife calls her mom almost every day and speaks for half an hour.

    Mark and I have known each other for about 30 years. He is an entrepreneur who loves creating and marketing products, while I am a former corporate executive, business strategist, and author who is slowly morphing into some combination of a philosopher and an angry old man.

    Mark’s latest startup is surprisingly a toothbrush company, Great Gums, with a revolutionary technology. Frankly, as someone who is very interested in the longevity, I applaud his effort. There is a strong link between oral hygiene and inflammation and dementia.

    Mark is about 20 years younger, and our age difference allows us to share different perspectives about life and work. He told me that one of the benefits of working in early-stage companies is his access to younger people who challenge his thinking and expose him to new ideas. He now interacts with people young enough to be his children, while I interact with people young enough to be my grandchildren. I think this interaction is beneficial to both sides because, with age, comes wisdom (at least for some).

    We had a wide-ranging conversation about what it is like to get old, the world political situation, M’s newest venture, and how the workplace is changing. It was that part of the discussion that brought back memories of the interview I did with Fast Company Magazine 20 years ago.

    In that interview, I predicted a lot of the changes we are now seeing taking place within the workforce. Of course, it all happened slower than I predicted. That seems to always be the case because everything that happens follows an S-curve, but I, like most people, see it as a straight line.

    There were a couple of points that my friend made that I did not anticipate. They related to women in the workforce.

    Twenty years ago, when I was being interviewed, I was not really aware or sensitive to the issue of women in the workforce. M pointed out that women continue to have limited success in the corporate world because it remains largely a man’s world. M discussed the impact of Fractional Work, which spans from Uber drivers to corporate CEOs, and how this affects life/work balance by providing flexibility. My friend further said that there are many talented women who will never take a full-time job even if they work full-time because when you work fractionally, you are actually working for your own company and have more control.

    While I did forecast the advent of fractional work in my interview twenty years ago, I did not think of it in the context that M was describing. Mark k kalso pointed out that women are now dominating marketing because they have higher emotional intelligence than men. That is for sure!

    I take pride in my role in shaping the end of time and space. The ability for the best minds to collaborate without the constraints of geography, time, or language has already transformed business and will continue to have profound implications.

    While I understood its impact on breaking free from industrial-age structures in the workplace, I hadn’t considered how these capabilities would shape our social lives—and, ultimately, our longevity.

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    More about the Fast Company Interview

    *THE CORNERSTONE FOR THIS MILLENNIUM is the end of time and space. Most organizations today are run the same way as early-20th-century businesses. Everyone goes to his car, drives to work, has certain hours, has a certain job. It’s all built on the factory model. Moving forward, it really isn’t going to be important where you are in order to do your job.Ideas are being worked on 24 hours a day. Nobody seems surprised anymore if I wake up in the middle of the night and start IM-ing someone in Europe, because the fact is, they don’t even know where I am. And it doesn’t matter.

    Corporations don’t provide security and provide fewer and fewer benefits. People may find new ways to sell their skills.

    Fewer and fewer people will want to be employees of corporations, because corporations don’t have anything to offer.

    I can imagine eBay or the equivalent of eBay being in the business of letting people bid on work all day long. Office buildings may turn into housing, or maybe individuals will rent office space as you would rent a hotel room.

    And those individuals will compete with people from all over the world. This isn’t globalization, because globalization to me feels big. I think it’s the opposite, it’s villagization-making everything smaller and in some sense more intimate. And that’s very powerful. I’m totally capitalistic, but I don’t like large organizations because they tend to want to control. If this reduces the power of corporations and governments to limit what human beings can do, the thing most exciting to me is the potential for everyone to participate.” – Interview  of Avram Miller by Danielle Sacks

    Towards the end of 2005, Fast Company Magazine decided to have an article on the most important business idea for the next ten years. It was the tenth anniversary of that magazine. They asked ten people  (see list below) they had interviewed over the last ten years that question (presumably because they liked what we said in the passed. 

    The interview lasted 40 minutes. And you can see here that it turned itself into less than a page. I thought there were a few other things of value in the interview and asked Fast company for a copy of the raw interview which had been recorded and permission to put it up on my blog which they gave me. So you can listen to the whole thing here. There first five minutes is pretty much small talk but the rest may be worth your while if you are interested in the basic concep

    ——————————————————————————————————–

    Here are the top ten points I made (please keep in mind this was

    1. The End of Time and Space in Work

    • Traditional office structures are outdated.

    • Technology enables people to work from anywhere, anytime.

    • The concept of commuting, fixed hours, and physical office spaces is becoming obsolete.

    2. The Globalization of Work

    • Companies will hire talent from anywhere in the world rather than relying on local employees.

    • Businesses will become less tied to specific countries and more borderless.

    3. The Rise of the Personal Information Device

    • The PC was the center of technology, but now mobile devices will take over.

    • Future personal devices will be voice-controlled and capable of immersive experiences like projecting images onto the retina.

    4. The Decline of Large Corporations

    • Big businesses will shrink as smaller, more agile companies disrupt industries.

    • Large corporations struggle to adapt, while startups and  decentralized organizations thrive.

    5. The Collapse of the Traditional Employee Model

    • People will no longer want to be full-time employees.

    • Instead, they will sell their skills independently, much like freelancers on platforms like Guru.com or Upwork.

    6. The Transformation of Media and Entertainment

    • Consumers will demand on-demand, personalized content rather than scheduled programming.

    • Traditional media companies will lose control, and content will become globally accessible.

    7. Automated Translation Will Remove Language Barriers

    • Future technology will allow real-time automatic translation.

    • People will be able to speak their native languages while communicating globally.

    8. Governments and Nations Will Lose Power

    • Countries and national governments are becoming less relevant.

    • Businesses and industries will operate beyond national borders with less reliance on government regulations.

    9. The Future of Real Estate

    • The demand for office buildings will shrink as remote work grows.

    • Cities might decentralize, and real estate will need to adapt to new work patterns.

    10. The Rise of Brain Health and Lifelong Learning

    • Cognitive abilities and adaptability will matter more than age.

    • Those who can master new technology and information will succeed, regardless of traditional experience.

    ——————————————————————————————————

    Fast Company Interview: 10 Key Voices on the Future of Business

    1. Malcolm Gladwell-Writer, The New Yorker

    Businesses must engage in social policy discussions beyond just tax cuts and deregulation.

    2. Barbara Ehrenreich-Writer, Author of “Nickel and Dimed”

    Hiring practices favor likability over skills, leading to workplace incompetence.

    3. Avram Miller- CEO, The Avram Miller Company

    The traditional 9-to-5 office model is outdated, and remote, global work will dominate.

    4. Kevin Roberts-Worldwide CEO, Saatchi & Saatchi

    The screen (TV, mobile, digital billboards) will be the dominant medium for business engagement.

    5. Donna Dubinsky-Founder & CEO, Numenta Inc.

    The future of computing lies in intelligent systems that mimic how the human brain learns and predicts.

    6. Esther Dyson-Editor, Release 1.0 (CNet Networks)

    The internet will force transparency and make companies more accountable to consumers.

    7. Tim Brown-President & CEO, IDEO

    Design thinking will expand beyond product design and into business strategy and problem-solving.

    8. John Mackey

    CEO & Co-founder, Whole Foods Market

    Business will be forced to adopt greater transparency and ethical responsibility.

    9. Scott Adams-Cartoonist, Creator of “Dilbert”

    Automation and outsourcing will eliminate most jobs, leaving only creative and sales roles in the U.S.

    10. Alice Waters-Executive Chef & Owner, Chez Panisse

    The future of food must prioritize local, sustainable production over industrial-scale businesses.

    Here are the Ten Interviews

    Starting in 1997,  I was interviewed about five times by Fast Company about five times. My best interview with the,  in my opinion, was done soon after I left Intel in 1999. You can read that one here.