I just posted my top ten predictions for the computer industry for 2014. One reader suggested I give my predictions for 2064 after reading a link I posted on Isaac Asimov’s predictions for 2014 which were made in 1964. You can read what he had to say here. Asimov was very much on the mark but then, as a science fiction writer, it was his job to think about the future.
In thinking about the next fifty years, I found myself thinking back to 1964 when I was just 19 years old. I wondered what I would I have predicted back then about technology in the years 2014.
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Category Archives: Technology
The First Bank of Apple or the end of the Credit Card as we know it.
I reported here about what I think are some of Amazons plans to continue to dominate the online market space. Of the four online giants that I follow, Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon, my money is on Amazon for the long term. But I only follow Facebook just to figure out the timing for their … Continue reading
Stop waiting to be hacked and take action now.
A while ago, I was hacked. I discussed what happened and my recommendation on a blog post on my blog. I strongly suggest you read it. I was very much reminded of the issues when the Adobe web site was hacked. I determined that my information was part of the info that was taken. I have … Continue reading
Apple following in Intel’s steps or better known as Plan C
This graph really says it all. Why Apple will become Intel in five years An old friend who has been involved with Intel from the mid 80s visited recently. We both have a love of tech, business and strategy. I am firmly planted in the Apple echo system while he is … Continue reading
So what does Intel, Google, Apple, Microsoft, Walmart the Cable Networks have in common? You will know soon!
One of the greatest errors companies make is mistaking who their real competitors are. I first encountered this when I was working for Digital Equipment Corporation (1979 to 1983). At that time, Digital thought the Data General, another mini computer company founded by former Digital employees, was its main competitor. While in reality, it was Intel and … Continue reading
Factory of broken dreams: Will the Googleplex be next
Intel just announced that it would close the Hudson Manufacturing Facility it acquired from Digital Equipment Corp in 1997. The press release from Intel said “the Hudson plant has been used to make a variety of low-end chips found in many electronic devices.” The closure of this plant will not mean much to people other than the thousand or so people directly affected. The exception to this are the few pioneers who vision and drive created it in the first place. They dared to dreamed big and lost. While they understood the potential of semi-conductor technology and large scale integration, like all of us at that time, they did not understand that the computer industry was about to be turned sideway and that companies that were vertically integrated would fail like Digital would fail.
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The First Bank of Amazon or the End of Advertising as we Know it.
Twenty years ago, I proclaimed that Advertising would be the Killer App of the Internet. Now I am pronouncing the end of Advertising. What will replace it as a source of revenue for media companies. It will be the First Bank of Amazon. Read more! Continue reading
Will the Killer App of the Internet Get Killed
Sometime around 1993, I gave a keynote speech about the Internet to the National Association of Broadcasters in Las Vegas (where else?). There I stated that the killer App for the Internet would be Advertising. I guess I was right. The internet has not only been fueled by advertising revenues but it has challenged the … Continue reading
The Mouse that Roared: Doug Engelbart
A lot of people are writing about Doug Engelbart one of the true pioneers of computer technology. Many of them are recounting their interactions and friendships. I only met him once. It was about 1967 or 1968 and I was around 22 years old and working with Joe Kamiya at the Langley Porter Institute (UC Medical Center) doing the first work in brain wave bio feedback. Continue reading
Alta Vista RIP
Evidently, Yahoo will close down Alta Vista on July 8th, the Internet search company it acquired in 2003. This is the second time Yahoo has killed Alta Vista. Let me explain.
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