I really don’t know how I feel about the deal with Iran. I tend to look at this situation from the eyes of an American/Israeli and the existential threat that a nuclear Iran represents. Through these eyes, it looks like the beginning of the end. The end of Israel. Once Iran demonstrates that it has an atomic bomb, everyone in Israel that has a foreign passport, and there are many, will leave the country. But through the eyes of an American who is probably not risking the future of his children, it could be the beginning of a new Iran. Iran is a great country lead by some awful people. It has so much potential.
In the short term, the deal agreed to by Obama, which could be stopped by congressional action, will make Israel safer. I think Iran will be on its good behavior for a while, at least with respect to atomic weapons.
This makes Israel the only nuclear power in the middle east. It also makes Israel the only power that can challenge Iran if it should get nuclear weapons. That is one of the reasons that Arab countries like Saudi Arabia are holding their noses and making secret deals with Israel.
The USA will probably try to make up with Israel, especially in time for the Presidential Election. The Democrats will need Jewish financial support (we don’t have enough people to matter when it comes to votes.) I doubt that they will put any pressure on Israel to deal with the Palestinians. The Republicans, who are supported by the Zionist Christians, certainly will not put pressure on Israel. I am sure that Netanyahu and Abbas called each other up and expressed their hope that Kerry would not be coming back to the region for a while.
Iran will go after ISIS even harder. They love a situation where they can kill Sunnis and have the world’s applause. Israel is probably giving intelligence about ISIS activities just as they give ISIS info on Iran’s activities.
Oil prices will continue to go down. This will really hurt Russia, so it is hard to understand why they supported this agreement. There must be something being offered to Russia and China to see them so cooperative.
If the deal goes through, Obama will go down in history as either a very courageous man that took risk to keep the USA out of another war and prevent Iran from getting the bomb (at least for a long time) or, as one of the greatest fools of all time for dropping the sanctions and trusting Iran. At least the man has guts.
Perhaps, Iran will slowly turn to the west. Their people clearly want that. A man can dream!
The loser in all this is Netanyahu in my opinion. He showed that he could not stop the USA from doing this deal, and now that it is done (pretty much), he will have to turn his attention to domestic issues and there are many.
The Palestinians continue to see their position weakened even though Europe talks a good game. No one really cares. Israel is busy making sure that Hamas and the PLO never get together, playing off of their greed, corruption and the hatred of each other.
It will probably be a few months or more before the deal is signed. This gives us all a lot of time to decide if this is a good deal or a bad deal. No matter what we think know, we will not really know for many years.